The Central Bank of Kenya is Losing its Grip on the Kenya Shilling Due to Over-regulation, Say Kenyan Bankers

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The Central Bank of Kenya is apparently struggling to keep the Kenya Shilling from losing value against the dollar according to Kenyan bankers.

According to a recent report on a Kenyan daily, insider anonymous sources from Kenyan banks say that CBK has been clamping down on bankers that put in a higher bid than what is offered by the CBK.

SEE ALSOKenya Ranked Top 5 in the World on Global Cryptocurrency Activity, Reveals Chainalysis Report

The regulatory over-reach however might not hold long as they go against the undeniable forces of demand and supply.

In a worst-case scenario, a dollar black market might emerge, if it has not done so already.

The report paints a grim picture of a CBK that will not allow bankers to post a high price on an inter-bank platform restricting them from selling dollars at a high price in an effort to stop price distortion.

As a result, banks cannot sell publicly to other banks thereby creating an artificial shortage that drives prices even higher.

As of this writing, the rates are as follows:

  • CBK rate – KES 108.5 / $
  • Inter-bank – KES 113 / $

The report points to a possible KES 115 / $ as the actual value which is not being reported in order to keep the value at the KES 108 CBK rate.

The above may not be surprising considering that the following:

  • Kenya imports 3x more than it exports
  • Diminishing portfolio investments from hedge funds in the bonds and stocks market
  • IMF has claimed the Kenya shilling is being managed and should be allowed to depreciate
  • Demand for Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies in Kenya is on the rise

 

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